Profound,
Provocative,
Pragmatic

Mary O'Hara-Devereaux, PH.D., is one of the world's leading futurists and business forecasters, a sought-after keynote speaker, and the author of such best-selling books as Navigating the Badlands: Thriving in the Decade of Radical Transformation.

Dr. O'Hara-Devereaux PhD

Traditional business and social foundations are crumbling. Familiar targets are gone. Strategy tragedy abounds as leaders are blind-sided by the sudden upheavals in a business landscape that is forever changed.

Internationally renowned keynote speaker, business forecaster, and strategist Mary O'Hara-Devereaux correctly forecast this period of chaos and confusion in her best-selling book Navigating the Badlands: Thriving In a Decade of Radical Transformation.

Mary and the Global Foresight team help courageous leaders scan, scout, and steer their way through a turbulent new phase of global transformation to targets no one else can see.

Intellectual Oxygen

Economy in Upheaval: Recovery on the Horizon

June 2009

Economic recovery will continue to be a sasquatch for the rest of 2009-we will catch glimpses of it only to see it fade away quickly. Regardless, the recovery from the Great Recession is on the horizon at last. Gone are the frightening scenarios of a financial meltdown and global depression that persisted in through Q1 2009. Persistent high unemployment will be a drag on GDP growth and drive a long flat bottom through 2010 followed by an anemic recovery through 2011.

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"Talent hits a target no one else can hit; genius hits a target no one else can see."

—Arthur Schopenhauer

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Eight Trends Shaping Your Future

As we look ahead to the year 2020, we ask ourselves: how do we get from here to there? "The Badlands” is a metaphor that invites us to embark on a journey of discovery. It is the context in which the complex story of globalization is unfolding. These eight trends will shape this future and understanding them will help you make the right choices to take a successful journey.

Rapidly Increasing Numbers of Healthy Older People

The most uncelebrated success of the 20th century is the dramatic increase in longevity and the globally growing numbers of healthy people over 80 years of age. But people won’t be “old” for 40 years; they will be productive adults for 25 more.

The Changing Identity of Women

Since 1950, women around the world have gone to work, achieved high levels of education and made lifestyle choices that are re-defining who they are, what a household is and what is an acceptable work-life balance. The full impact of this trend is at the tipping point and these demographics are “queen” when they hit!

The Rise of Toxic Leaders

History reminds us that toxic leaders rise in the Badlands as those with power become more corrupt under the illusion of escaping the diminishment of their roles amidst the tectonic shifts of a new age. The Badlands’ uncertainty and terror of the unknown among common people creates a fear that drives them to keep toxic leaders in power with their promises of safety. New leaders must arise to break this conundrum and allow us to continue to the far foothills of the future.

China Grows, and China Grows and China Slows

Today the world’s manufacturing floor; tomorrow the largest economy on the planet. But how does China get from here to there? In its dramatic harvest of the low hanging fruit to achieve fast economic growth, it can no longer postpone the creation of a sea change in its social and political institutions as well as a more robust economic infrastructure.

The Global Growth of the Networked Economy

The digitization, virtualization and automation of just about everything everywherehave unleashed a persistent growth of productivity around the world with its myriad of both intended and unintended consequences. The world is “flat” for those who know how to access and leverage this new platform for business, social and political innovation—especially small- and mid-sized companies, whose numbers are dramatically increasing.

Increasing Demand for Advanced Education

Even the $2 trillion global marketplace for advanced education can’t meet what‘s needed. In many ways, both content and delivery remain mismatched to issues and needs that matter for learning. The churn-and-burn of strategy and jobs drives the need for new skills and knowledge. Both companies and individuals have no choice but to figure out how to spawn the hybrid models that will dominate the future.

Activist Consumers Accelerate the Transformation of the Supply Chain

Throughout the next decade, decision-making power about what gets produced, and how much is produced, will continue to shift downstream to customers and consumers throughout the global marketplace, creating a multitude of new value webs that will transform all relationships. Emerging first in the U. S., they are now prevalent around the globe. They demand a lot while not being very loyal.

Sustainability Grows In Importance

Environmental problems are much more visible today, and the scale and diversity of attention to them are creating a driving force for growth. Green data acquisition and accounting is easy to achieve, accelerating both environmental interventions and prevention with sophisticated cost-benefit analyses.

And finally and of utmost importance...

The Wealth Gap Grows Larger

The gap between the rich and the poor grows wider, driven by the polarizing and marginalizing impacts of the knowledge economy. You have to have the right skills to play which, under current conditions, 3 billion people have little hope of achieving, leaving them caught in a “black hole.” Given that we have both the monetary and knowledge resources to reverse this trend, will this be part of the new era?

 

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